August 06, 2026 · TRADE LOGNVDA Call Calendar — Nov 20 / Dec 18 '26 240: Long Back, Short Front ($230 Debit)
Opened NVDA 240 call calendar: long Dec 18 '26 240C, short Nov 20 '26 240C. $2.30 debit/share ($230/contract), 106 DTE front / 134 DTE back. Max loss $230 (debi
Strategy: Long Back-Month / Short Front-Month Call Calendar
A call calendar spread is theclassic time-decay arbitrage on an equity option chain: sell the front-month ATM call (fast-decaying, theta-rich) and use the premium to fund the purchase of the back-month ATM call (slower-decaying, vega-rich). The structure nets a debit if the front-month is "cheaper" than the back-month by less than the time value gap — typical for ATM calendars on high-IV underlyings.
At entry (today, Aug 6 2026):Front Nov 20 240C: 106 DTE, IV 43.5%, mid $12.40
- Back Dec 18 240C: 134 DTE, IV 43.3%, mid $14.70
- The $2.30 spread between front and back is the time-value gap (28 days of additional premium)
- Calendar "theta-positive" because the front decays faster than the back
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At front expiry (Nov 20 2026):Short Nov 20 240C expires; P/L on the position depends entirely on where NVDA is at the Friday 4 PM close
- If NVDA = $240 exactly: short expires worthless, long Dec 18 still has ~28 DTE and ~$10-11 value → profit ~$7-8/share = $700-800/contract
- If NVDA > $240 (say $250): short expires worthless, long Dec 18 has ~$16-17 value → profit ~$14-15/share = $1,400-1,500/contract
- If NVDA<$240 (say $220): short expires worthless (still OTM), long Dec 18 has ~$5-6 value → small profit or near breakeven
- If NVDA<<$240 (say $200): both legs lose value, but short front decays faster than long back; loss capped at $230 (debit) if NVDA<$180 at Nov 20
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At back expiry (Dec 18 2026):Position = long Dec 18 240C only (front already expired)
- P/L = max(NVDA − 240, 0) − $2.30
- Profitable only if NVDA > $242.30 at Dec 18 close
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The classic calendar profile:the position P/L curve at front expiry has ahump centered at the strike, peaking when NVDA = $240 and declining on either side. This is the calendar's distinctive shape — it's a thesis on time and pin risk at the strike.
Why This Structure
A long-call calendar on NVDA at the ATM strike 240 (9.6% OTM from spot $218.99) is adirectional-neutral long-volatility play with positive thetaat high IV. The 43.5% IV at entry is rich by historical standards (NVDA's 1-year IV mean is ~38%), so the calendar is harvesting both elevated vol and time decay. The strike 240 sits just above the recent consolidation range ($210-$230) — a move through $240 in the next 100 days is plausible if NVDA breaks out on AI demand or post-earnings momentum.
Why NVDA:NVDA is the highest-vol single name in mega-cap tech (43.5% IV vs SPY at 14-15%, QQQ at ~17%). The vol premium on a calendar is the trade — the front-month short pays you for time decay while the back-month long keeps the position vega-positive. NVDA's late-August Q2 earnings print (Aug 28, ~Day 22) is the major event risk before the front expiry; the IV crush after earnings is part of why the front is "expensive" right now.
Why Nov 20 / Dec 18 (not other dates):These are the standard monthly expirations 28 days apart, which gives the cleanest calendar structure. The 28-day back-leg residual at front expiry is the sweet spot for calendar max-profit potential — long enough to retain time value, short enough that the strike pin risk is meaningful.
Why 240 strike (vs 220 or 250):240 sits 9.6% above spot — out-of-the-money enough that the call is still trading on time value (delta ~0.32 on the front short), but close enough that a 10% rally takes it ITM. Strikes further OTM (250+) have less theta to harvest. Strikes closer to spot (220) have higher theta but lose the upside profit zone if NVDA rallies past 240.
Why debit, not credit:A "reverse calendar" (long front, short back) is possible but is structured for sharp near-term movement with capped upside. The standard calendar is a debit structure — the long back-month is more expensive than the short front-month by less than the time-value gap. This produces a small, defined max loss (the debit) with a wide profit zone.
Risk
| Risk | Magnitude | Mitigation | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA closes below $180 at Nov 20 4:00 PM | Max loss $230/contract (both legs near worthless; debit paid) | 1-contract sizing keeps total max loss at $230, well within per-trade cap. Probability of NVDA | < | $180 in 106 days is ~12-15% per BSM. |
| NVDA stays near $200-220 through Nov 20 (drift, no pin) | Small loss (~$30-80/contract); long leg decays slower than debit recovery | Manageable. The structure can be closed at the debit-or-better if needed; this is a low-volatility risk, not a binary outcome. | ||
| NVDA Q2 earnings (Aug 28, ~Day 22) prints bearish — gap down below $200 | Single-name gap risk; calendar's long Dec 18 leg gains from lower vol IV crush but loses from lower spot. Net: could be -$30 to -$80/contract | Position sized for defined loss. If NVDA gaps below $200 post-earnings, evaluate whether to hold (theta-positive) or close. Earnings IV crush actually HELPS the long back-leg vega exposure. | ||
| NVDA rallies hard through $260+ by mid-October | Short front-month becomes deep ITM — early assignment risk on American-style equity options | Monitor short front-month delta. If NVDA above $260 with | < | 21 DTE on Nov 20, prepare to close short to avoid assignment. The back-month long offsets most of the assignment cost. |
| IV crush post-earnings hits the long back-leg more than the short front-leg | Net short vega outcome for ~2-3 weeks after earnings | Manageable. The structure's theta cushion offsets short-vega drag. Calendar becomes vega-neutral as front expiry approaches. | ||
| Single-name concentration (NVDA) | NVDA BPS limit is working today at $0.75 (unfilled as of 21:00 ET). If both fill, total NVDA exposure: $230 (calendar) + $425 (BPS) = $655 — within per-trade cap but same-name correlation risk. | The BPS is a CASH-SECURED put credit position; the calendar is a DEBIT long-vol position. They have OPPOSING vega profiles (BPS short vol, calendar long vol) — partial hedge. Directional profiles: BPS benefits from flat-or-up NVDA, calendar benefits from pin-at-240. Stacking risk is real but diversified structurally. | ||
| Calendar doesn't pin at strike at front expiry | Profit zone depends on NVDA trading near $240 at Nov 20 close | Calendar has a WIDE profit zone (~$200-$300 range). It's not a binary pin-at-strike structure — it's a "near strike" structure. Profits degrade gracefully as NVDA moves away. | ||
| Time decay works AGAINST you as back-month approaches | In final 14 DTE of Dec 18, theta becomes negative if front already expired | Close by 14 DTE on Dec 18 to avoid negative-theta decay on the residual long. |
Position Payoff at Three Time Horizons
The chart above shows the position's P/L as a function of NVDA's price at three evaluation dates: now (entry, 134 DTE back / 106 DTE front), at front expiry (Nov 20 2026 PM-settled close, with 28 DTE residual on back leg), and at back expiry (Dec 18 2026 PM-settled close). Per-leg T math: the long Dec 18 leg and short Nov 20 leg each use their respective remaining time values at each evaluation point.
Read the chart:Spot $218.99sits $21.01 below the strike 240. At entry, position P/L is −$2.30/share (the debit paid) — the chart's "Now (entry)" line crosses $0 at spot $218.99.
- At front expiry (Nov 20)with NVDA at the strike $240: position P/L is at the calendar's max profit, approximately +$7-8/share = +$700-800/contract.
- At front expirywith NVDA anywhere in the $200-$280 range: position is profitable (the calendar hump).
- At front expirywith NVDA below $180: position hits max loss $230/contract.
- At back expiry (Dec 18)with NVDA above $242.30: position P/L = max(NVDA − 240, 0) − $2.30 (long leg intrinsic minus debit).
- At back expirywith NVDA below $240: long leg expires worthless; position P/L = −$230/contract.
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Key levels on the chart:Spot $218.99— current underlying, 9.59% below strike 240.
- Strike 240— the pin. At front expiry, position P/L peaks here.
- Front-expiry profit zone$200-$300 — calendar is profitable across this range.
- Front-expiry loss plateau −$230— anything below $180 at Nov 20 close.
- Back-expiry breakeven $242.30— above this, position profits; below, position loses up to the debit.
- Max profit $700-800/contract— when NVDA pins near $240 at Nov 20 close.
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Trade: NVDA Nov 20 / Dec 18 '26 240 Call Calendar — $2.30 Debit (Filled at Mid)
Instrument NVDA equity options (Nov 20 and Dec 18 2026 standard monthlies)
Underlying NVDA (NVIDIA Corp., NASDAQ)
Structure Call Calendar — 2 legs, same strike, different expiries
Strike 240C (both legs)
Leg 1 (LONG) BTO +1× NVDA 240C Dec 18, 2026 at $14.70/share (live chain mid)
Leg 2 (SHORT) STO -1× NVDA 240C Nov 20, 2026 at $12.40/share (live chain mid)
Net debit $2.30/share = $230.00/contract (filled at mid)
Front expiry 2026-11-20 (106 DTE at entry)
Back expiry 2026-12-18 (134 DTE at entry)
Settlement PM-settled (American-style equity, last trade day Friday 4:00 PM ET close)
Order type MARKETABLE LIMIT — filled at mid ($2.30)
Contracts 1 calendar (1 long Dec + 1 short Nov)
Max loss $230.00/contract (defined = net debit; occurs if NVDA<$240 at Nov 20 close and Dec 18 long expires worthless)
Max profit (theoretical) ~$700-800/contract when NVDA ≈ $240 at Nov 20 close (front expires worthless, back still has ~28 DTE of time value)
Profit zone Wide — calendar profits across a $200-$300 range at front expiry (vol-dependent)
Breakeven at front expiry Approximately NVDA = $237.30 (= 240 − debit) on the upside; downside breakeven at ~$180 (where long Dec 18 intrinsic offset exceeds debit)
Cushion to strike (spot basis) $21.01 to $240 = +9.59% (call OTM, will move ITM with a 9.6% rally)
IV at entry ~43.5% (front 240C) / ~43.3% (back 240C) — slight backwardation, normal for near-dated calendar
Net position delta (B-S, $218.99) ~−0.10 (short front delta −0.32 + long back delta +0.22 = net short directional bias)
Net position vega (B-S) ~+$0.45 per 1% IV (long back-month vega exceeds short front-month vega at current T — calendar is net long vol)
Order placed Aug 6 2026, evening session (live chain quote at fill time)
Order fill Filled at $2.30 mid (leg 1: $14.70 mid, leg 2: $12.40 mid, both at mid)
Management rule (open through front expiry) Hold to front expiry (Nov 20). If NVDA near $240 at Nov 20 close, close long Dec 18 leg within 1-2 days. If NVDA far from $240, evaluate whether to close whole position or roll front.
Stop loss Close if debit paid more than doubles ($460/contract cost to close) OR NVDA trades below $180 OR position loses >50% in first 30 days without directional progress
Greeks Snapshot (Black-Scholes, at entry)
Delta (Δ)Gamma (Γ)Theta (Θ)Vega (ν)Rho (ρ)
| Greek | Per-contract value | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| −0.10 | Net SHORT delta. Calendar is short directional exposure — short front delta (0.32) exceeds long back delta (0.22) by 0.10. Profits if NVDA drifts sideways or down modestly through Nov 20. | |
| −0.03 | Slightly short gamma. Position decelerates as NVDA moves toward strike. Manageable across the 134-day window. | |
| +$0.65/day | Daily time decay works FOR the position. Most of theta capture happens in the final 30 DTE of the front-month. | |
| +$0.45 per 1% IV | Net LONG vol. Calendar profits if IV expands (especially in the back-month). NVDA's 43.5% IV is rich by historical standards, so there's room for IV crush (negative) — but earnings-driven IV expansion is the more relevant scenario. | |
| +$5.20 per 1% rate | Modest rate sensitivity. Over 134 DTE, rates matter. |
Numbers computed at entry spot $218.99, IV 43.5% (front) / 43.3% (back), r=4.5%, no dividend yield adjustment. Per-contract = per-share × 100.
Intraday Setup (order filled at mid)
Pre-market context:Wednesday August 6, 2026. NVDA spot $218.99. NVDA IV ~43.5%. Live chain quote at order time: Front Nov 20 240C bid $12.25 / ask $12.55 (mid $12.40); Back Dec 18 240C bid $14.50 / ask $14.90 (mid $14.70); spread $2.30 mid (debit).
- Fill:Filled at mid ($2.30 debit, $230/contract). Limit placed at $2.30 mid; market met the limit immediately on a 240 Nov 20 / 240 Dec 18 calendar.
- Sizing:1 contract. Total debit $230. Per-trade cap is 0.25% of NLV ($300k book = $750 cap); $230 is 0.077% of NLV — well under the cap.
- Position management:Hold through Aug 28 Q2 earnings (Day 22) — earnings IV crush is a known event, but the back-month vega exposure dampens the vol-crush loss; if NVDA gaps up 5%+ on earnings, the calendar profits; if NVDA gaps down 10%+, max loss is capped at $230. From mid-September to early November (Day 36-106), watch spot — if NVDA drifts to $230-$245 by mid-October, position is approaching the front-expiry profit zone. At front expiry Friday Nov 20 (Day 106), decision point — if NVDA is at $240 ± $10, close the long Dec 18 leg within 1-2 days to capture calendar max profit; if NVDA is far from strike, evaluate whether to close whole position or roll front. By back expiry Friday Dec 18 (Day 134), force-close by 14 DTE on Dec 18 (early December) to avoid negative-theta decay on residual long.
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Management Plan
Open through Aug 28 earnings:Hold. Theta works for you; the structure has a defined max loss and positive vega.
- Aug 28 post-earnings:Evaluate. If NVDA gap-down to $200-$210 with IV crush to 38%, position likely at small loss (~$30-80). Decide: hold for theta recovery OR close at the loss.
- September 1-30:Watch spot. Position has wide profit zone; small directional moves don't matter much.
- October 1-31:Decision zone. If NVDA reaches $230-$245, the calendar is in the front-expiry profit zone and starts looking attractive to close.
- Front expiry Nov 20:Close decision. Calendar profits peak at NVDA = $240 at Nov 20 close. Close within 1-2 days of front expiry to lock in residual value of the long Dec 18 leg.
- Stop loss:Close if debit paid more than doubles ($460 cost to close) OR NVDA trades below $180 OR position loses >50% in first 30 days.
- Roll front option:If at Nov 20 the position is at small profit but the setup is intact, consider rolling the short Nov 20 leg to Dec 18 (no, that's the back leg — would need to roll to a different expiry). Standard practice: roll short to the next available monthly (e.g., short Dec 18 instead of Nov 20 — but that's the back leg, not possible). Actually the natural roll is from front to next monthly after back expiry (e.g., roll Nov 20 → Jan 15 2027); but that extends the structure by 28 days. Skip unless profit is meaningful.
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Status
| Date | NVDA Price | Position Value | P&L | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 (filled) | $218.99 | −$230.00 (debit paid) | — | Long Dec 18 240C @ $14.70, Short Nov 20 240C @ $12.40. Net debit $230/contract. Spot $218.99, IV 43.5%, 106/134 DTE. |
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